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1.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0302517, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38722976

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Left atrial appendage occlusion during cardiac surgery is a therapeutic option for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation. The effectiveness and safety of left atrial appendage occlusion have been evaluated in several studies, including the LAAOS-III trial. While these studies have demonstrated efficacy and safety, the long-term economic impact of this surgical technique has not yet been assessed. Here, we aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of left atrial appendage occlusion during cardiac surgery over a long-term time horizon. METHODS: Our study was based on a model representing an hypothetical cohort with the same characteristics as LAAOS-III trial patients. We modelled the incidence of ischemic strokes and systemic embolisms in each intervention arm: "occlusion" and "no-occlusion," using a one-month cycle length with a 20-year time horizon. Regarding occlusion devices, sutures, staples, or an approved surgical occlusion device (AtriClip™-AtriCure, Ohio, USA) could be used. RESULTS: Our model generated an average cost savings of 607 euros per patient and an incremental gain of 0.062 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), resulting an incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) of €-9,775/QALY. The scenario analysis in which occlusion was systematically performed using the AtriClip™ device generated an ICUR of €3,952/QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: In the base-case analysis, the strategy proved to be more effective and less costly, confirming left atrial appendage occlusion during cardiac surgery as an economically dominant strategy. The scenario analysis also appeared cost-effective, although it did not result in cost savings. This study provides a new perspective on the assessment of the cost-effectiveness of these techniques.


Subject(s)
Atrial Appendage , Atrial Fibrillation , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Atrial Appendage/surgery , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/economics , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/methods , Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Atrial Fibrillation/economics , France , Male , Female , Stroke/prevention & control , Stroke/economics , Stroke/etiology , Aged
2.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1275, 2024 May 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38724960

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the cost-utility of the addition of vericiguat for treating chronic heart failure (CHF) in China from the healthcare payer's perspective. METHODS: A Markov model was built to estimate the cost and utility of treating CHF using vericiguat plus standard treatment (vericiguat group) vs. standard treatment alone (standard treatment group). The clinical parameters (mortality of cardiovascular and hospitalization rate of HF) were calculated according to the VICTORIA clinical trial. The HF cost and utility data were obtained from the literature published in China. One-way sensitivity analysis and probability sensitivity analysis were performed. RESULTS: According to the 13-year model, vericiguat was more expensive (155599.07 CNY vs. 259396.83 CNY) and more effective (4.41 QALYs vs. 4.54 QALYs). The incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) was 802389.27 CNY per QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that cardiovascular mortality in the two groups was the parameter that had the greatest impact on the results. The GDP per capita in 2022 in China was 85,700 CNY. The probability sensitivity analysis (PSA) showed that the probability of vericiguat being cost-effective was only 41.7% at the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 3 times GDP per capita (257,100 CNY). CONCLUSIONS: In China, the treatment of CHF with vericiguat is not cost-effective. The drug price could decrease to 145.8 CNY, which could be considered cost-effective.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Heart Failure , Markov Chains , Pyrimidines , Stroke Volume , Humans , Heart Failure/drug therapy , Heart Failure/mortality , Heart Failure/economics , China , Pyrimidines/therapeutic use , Pyrimidines/economics , Chronic Disease/drug therapy , Drug Therapy, Combination , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Male , Female , Heterocyclic Compounds, 2-Ring
3.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0302548, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728337

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of avelumab first-line (1L) maintenance therapy plus best supportive care (BSC) versus BSC alone for adults with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC) that had not progressed following platinum-based chemotherapy in France. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model was developed to assess the lifetime costs and effects of avelumab plus BSC versus BSC alone. Data from the phase 3 JAVELIN Bladder 100 trial (NCT02603432) were used to inform estimates of clinical and utility values considering a 10-year time horizon and a weekly cycle length. Cost data were estimated from a collective perspective and included treatment acquisition, administration, follow-up, adverse event-related hospitalization, transport, post-progression, and end-of-life costs. Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and life-years gained. Costs and clinical outcomes were discounted at 2.5% per annum. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were used to compare cost-effectiveness and willingness to pay in France. Uncertainty was assessed using a range of sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Avelumab plus BSC was associated with a gain of 2.49 QALYs and total discounted costs of €136,917; BSC alone was associated with 1.82 QALYs and €39,751. Although avelumab plus BSC was associated with increased acquisition costs compared with BSC alone, offsets of -€20,424 and -€351 were observed for post-progression and end-of-life costs, respectively. The base case analysis ICER was €145,626/QALY. Sensitivity analyses were consistent with the reference case and showed that efficacy parameters (overall survival, time to treatment discontinuation), post-progression time on immunotherapy, and post-progression costs had the largest impact on the ICER. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis demonstrated that avelumab plus BSC is associated with a favorable cost-effectiveness profile for patients with la/mUC who are eligible for 1L maintenance therapy in France.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Humans , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/economics , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , France , Male , Female , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/drug therapy , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/economics , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/pathology , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Aged , Middle Aged , Adult , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/economics , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/mortality , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/pathology , Neoplasm Metastasis , Urologic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Urologic Neoplasms/mortality , Urologic Neoplasms/economics , Urologic Neoplasms/pathology , Maintenance Chemotherapy/economics
4.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e075016, 2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38692718

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pessary therapy as an initial treatment option compared with surgery for moderate to severe pelvic organ prolapse (POP) symptoms in secondary care from a healthcare and a societal perspective. DESIGN: Economic evaluation alongside a multicentre randomised controlled non-inferiority trial with a 24-month follow-up. SETTING: 21 hospitals in the Netherlands, recruitment conducted between 2015 and 2022. PARTICIPANTS: 1605 women referred to secondary care with symptomatic prolapse stage ≥2 were requested to participate. Of them, 440 women gave informed consent and were randomised to pessary therapy (n=218) or to surgery (n=222) in a 1:1 ratio stratified by hospital. INTERVENTIONS: Pessary therapy and surgery. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The Patient Global Impression of Improvement (PGI-I), a 7-point scale dichotomised into successful versus unsuccessful, with a non-inferiority margin of -10%; quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) measured by the EQ-5D-3L; healthcare and societal costs were based on medical records and the institute for Medical Technology Assessment questionnaires. RESULTS: For the PGI-I, the mean difference between pessary therapy and surgery was -0.05 (95% CI -0.14; 0.03) and -0.03 (95% CI -0.07; 0.002) for QALYs. In total, 54.1% women randomised to pessary therapy crossed over to surgery, and 3.6% underwent recurrent surgery. Healthcare and societal costs were significantly lower in the pessary therapy (mean difference=-€1807, 95% CI -€2172; -€1446 and mean difference=-€1850, 95% CI -€2349; -€1341, respectively). The probability that pessary therapy is cost-effective compared with surgery was 1 at willingness-to-pay thresholds between €0 and €20 000/QALY gained from both perspectives. CONCLUSIONS: Non-inferiority of pessary therapy regarding the PGI-I could not be shown and no statistically significant differences in QALYs between interventions were found. Due to significantly lower costs, pessary therapy is likely to be cost-effective compared with surgery as an initial treatment option for women with symptomatic POP treated in secondary care. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NTR4883.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Pelvic Organ Prolapse , Pessaries , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Pessaries/economics , Female , Pelvic Organ Prolapse/therapy , Pelvic Organ Prolapse/economics , Pelvic Organ Prolapse/surgery , Middle Aged , Netherlands , Aged , Treatment Outcome , Quality of Life
5.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 20(1): 2348124, 2024 Dec 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38714332

ABSTRACT

South Korea's National Immunization Program administers the quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV) to manage seasonal influenza, with a particular focus on the elderly. After reviewing the safety and immune response triggered by the adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) in individuals aged 65 and older, the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety in Korea approved its use. However, the extensive impact of aQIV on public health is yet to be fully understood. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of replacing QIV with aQIV in South Korean adults aged 65 years and older. A dynamic transmission model, calibrated with national influenza data, was applied to compare the influence of aQIV and QIV on older adults and the broader population throughout a single influenza season. This study considered both the direct and indirect effects of vaccination on the elderly. We derived the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) from quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs incurred, validated through a probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 5,000 simulations. Findings suggest that transitioning to aQIV from QIV in the elderly would be cost-effective, particularly if aQIV's efficacy reaches or exceeds 56.1%. With an ICER of $29,267/QALY, considerably lower than the $34,998/QALY willingness-to-pay threshold, aQIV presents as a cost-effective option. Thus, implementing aQIV with at least 56.1% efficacy is beneficial from both financial and public health perspectives in mitigating seasonal influenza in South Korea.


Subject(s)
Adjuvants, Immunologic , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza Vaccines/economics , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza Vaccines/immunology , Republic of Korea , Aged , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/economics , Aged, 80 and over , Adjuvants, Immunologic/economics , Adjuvants, Immunologic/administration & dosage , Male , Female , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
6.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e079826, 2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38719294

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Climate change is a major global issue with significant consequences, including effects on air quality and human well-being. This review investigated the projection of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) attributable to air pollution under different climate change scenarios. DESIGN: This systematic review was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 flow checklist. A population-exposure-outcome framework was established. Population referred to the general global population of all ages, the exposure of interest was air pollution and its projection, and the outcome was the occurrence of NCDs attributable to air pollution and burden of disease (BoD) based on the health indices of mortality, morbidity, disability-adjusted life years, years of life lost and years lived with disability. DATA SOURCES: The Web of Science, Ovid MEDLINE and EBSCOhost databases were searched for articles published from 2005 to 2023. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: The eligible articles were evaluated using the modified scale of a checklist for assessing the quality of ecological studies. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers searched, screened and selected the included studies independently using standardised methods. The risk of bias was assessed using the modified scale of a checklist for ecological studies. The results were summarised based on the projection of the BoD of NCDs attributable to air pollution. RESULTS: This review included 11 studies from various countries. Most studies specifically investigated various air pollutants, specifically particulate matter <2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen oxides and ozone. The studies used coupled-air quality and climate modelling approaches, and mainly projected health effects using the concentration-response function model. The NCDs attributable to air pollution included cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease, stroke, ischaemic heart disease, coronary heart disease and lower respiratory infections. Notably, the BoD of NCDs attributable to air pollution was projected to decrease in a scenario that promotes reduced air pollution, carbon emissions and land use and sustainable socioeconomics. Contrastingly, the BoD of NCDs was projected to increase in a scenario involving increasing population numbers, social deprivation and an ageing population. CONCLUSION: The included studies widely reported increased premature mortality, CVD and respiratory disease attributable to PM2.5. Future NCD projection studies should consider emission and population changes in projecting the BoD of NCDs attributable to air pollution in the climate change era. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023435288.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution , Climate Change , Noncommunicable Diseases , Humans , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Disability-Adjusted Life Years
7.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e084075, 2024 May 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38719295

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The reproductive years can increase women's weight-related risk. Evidence for effective postpartum weight management interventions is lacking and engaging women during this life stage is challenging. Following a promising pilot evaluation of the Supporting MumS intervention, we assess if theory-based and bidirectional text messages to support diet and physical activity behaviour change for weight loss and weight loss maintenance, are effective and cost-effective for weight change in postpartum women with overweight or obesity, compared with an active control arm receiving text messages on child health and development. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Two-arm, parallel-group, assessor-blind randomised controlled trial with cost-effectiveness and process evaluations. Women (n=888) with body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2 and within 24 months of giving birth were recruited via community and National Health Service pathways through five UK sites targeting areas of ethnic and socioeconomic diversity. Women were 1:1 randomised to the intervention or active control groups, each receiving automated text messages for 12 months. Data are collected at 0, 6, 12 and 24 months. The primary outcome is weight change at 12 months from baseline, compared between groups. Secondary outcomes include weight change (24 months) and waist circumference (cm), proportional weight gain (>5 kg), BMI (kg/m2), dietary intake, physical activity, infant feeding and mental health (6, 12 and 24 months, respectively). Economic evaluation examines health service usage and personal expenditure, health-related quality of life and capability well-being to assess cost-effectiveness over the trial and modelled lifetime. Cost-utility analysis examines cost per quality-adjusted life-years gained over 24 months. Mixed-method process evaluation explores participants' experiences and contextual factors impacting outcomes and implementation. Stakeholder interviews examine scale-up and implementation. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval was obtained before data collection (West of Scotland Research Ethics Service Research Ethics Committee (REC) 4 22/WS/0003). Results will be published via a range of outputs and audiences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN16299220.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Obesity , Overweight , Postpartum Period , Text Messaging , Humans , Female , Overweight/therapy , Obesity/therapy , Exercise , Adult , Body Mass Index , United Kingdom , Weight Loss , Weight Reduction Programs/methods , Weight Reduction Programs/economics , Quality of Life , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
8.
Int J Technol Assess Health Care ; 40(1): e23, 2024 May 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38725378

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Discounting the cost and effect for health intervention is a controversial topic over the last two decades. In particular, the cost-effectiveness of gene therapies is especially sensitive to the discount rate because of the substantial delay between the upfront cost incurred and long-lasing clinical benefits received. This study aims to investigate the influence of employing alternative discount rates on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of gene therapies. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted to include health economic evaluations of gene therapies that were published until April 2023. RESULTS: Sensitivity or scenario analysis indicated that discount rate represented one of the most influential factors for the ICERs of gene therapies. Discount rate for cost and benefit was positively correlated with the cost-effectiveness of gene therapies, that is, a lower discount rate significantly improves the ICERs. The alternative discount rate employed in some cases could be powerful to alter the conclusion on whether gene therapies are cost-effective and acceptable for reimbursement. CONCLUSIONS: Although discount rate will have substantial influence on the ICERs of gene therapies, there lacks solid evidence to justify a different discounting rule for gene therapies. However, it is proposed that the discount rate in the reference case should be updated to reflect the real-time preference, which in turn will affect the ICERs and reimbursement of gene therapies more profoundly than conventional therapies.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Genetic Therapy , Technology Assessment, Biomedical , Humans , Genetic Therapy/economics , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
9.
Health Technol Assess ; 28(22): 1-94, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695098

ABSTRACT

Background: The extra benefit of a programme of physiotherapy in addition to advice alone, following first-time traumatic shoulder dislocation, is uncertain. We compared the clinical and cost-effectiveness of a single session of advice with a single session of advice and a programme of physiotherapy. Objective: The primary objective was to quantify and draw inferences about observed differences in the Oxford Shoulder Instability Score between the trial treatment groups 6 months post randomisation, in adults with a first-time traumatic shoulder dislocation. Design: A pragmatic, multicentre, superiority, randomised controlled trial with embedded qualitative study. Setting: Forty-one hospitals in the UK NHS. Participants: Adults with a radiologically confirmed first-time traumatic anterior shoulder dislocation, being managed non-operatively. People with neurovascular complications or bilateral dislocations, and those unable to adhere to trial procedures or unable to attend physiotherapy within 6 weeks of injury, or who had previously been randomised, were excluded. Interventions: All participants received the same initial shoulder examination followed by advice to aid self-management, lasting up to 1 hour and administered by a physiotherapist (control). Participants randomised to receive an additional programme of physiotherapy were offered sessions lasting for up to 30 minutes, over a maximum duration of 4 months from the date of randomisation (intervention). Main outcome measures: The primary outcome measure was the Oxford Shoulder Instability Score. This is a self-completed outcome measure containing 12 questions (0-4 points each), with possible scores from 0 (worst function) to 48 (best function). Measurements were collected at 6 weeks, 3 months, 6 months and 12 months by postal questionnaire; 6 months was the primary outcome time point. The primary health outcome for economic evaluation was the quality-adjusted life-year, in accordance with National Institute of Health and Care Excellence guidelines. Results: Between 14 November 2018 and 14 March 2022, 482 participants were randomised to advice (n = 240) or advice and a programme of physiotherapy (n = 242). Participants were 34% female, with a mean age of 45 years, and treatment arms were balanced at baseline. There was not a statistically significant difference in the primary outcome between advice only and advice plus a programme of physiotherapy at 6 months for the primary intention-to-treat adjusted analysis (favours physiotherapy: 1.5, 95% confidence interval -0.3 to 3.5) or at earlier 3-month and 6-week time points on the Oxford Shoulder Instability Score (0-48; higher scores indicate better function). The probability of physiotherapy being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £30,000 was 0.95. Conclusions: We found little difference in the primary outcome or other secondary outcomes. Advice with additional physiotherapy sessions was found likely to be cost-effective. However, small imprecise incremental costs and quality-adjusted life-years raise questions on whether it is the best use of scarce physiotherapy resources given current service demands. Limitations: Loss to follow-up was 27%; however, the observed standard deviation was much smaller than anticipated. These changes in parameters reduced the number of participants required to observe the planned target difference of four points. Our post hoc sensitivity analysis, accounting for missing data, gives similar results. Future work: Further research should be directed towards optimising self-management strategies. Study registration: This study is registered as ISRCTN63184243. Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 16/167/56) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 22. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.


The shoulder dislocates (comes out of its socket joint) when the upper end of the arm bone is forced out during an injury. This common problem occurs mostly in men in their 20s and women aged over 80. After the bone is put back in its socket, most people are managed with physiotherapy. In the United Kingdom, once the bone is back in its socket, there is a range of physiotherapy provision: some hospitals offer advice, and some offer advice and a course of additional physiotherapy sessions. We compared advice alone to advice and physiotherapy for people who had a shoulder that had come out of its joint for the first time. Physiotherapy advice and additional sessions included education about the injury and exercises to move and strengthen the shoulder. When we started this project, this was the first time these two treatments had been compared. Our aim was to compare what activities the two groups could do 6 months after injury via a questionnaire. We also compared quality of life and the cost of rehabilitation at 6 weeks, 3 months, 6 months and 12 months after injury. Adults with a shoulder out of its joint and who were not having surgery were asked to take part. All adults who were eligible and consented to take part were assigned, by chance, to either a single session of advice or the same session followed by physiotherapy. Between 14 November 2018 and 14 March 2022 we collected data on 482 people, from 41 NHS sites across the UK. We found at 6 months there was little evidence that additional physiotherapy was better, when compared to advice alone. Cost-effectiveness analysis (comparing changes in costs and quality of life) suggests additional physiotherapy might provide value for money. However, the changes involved are small and uncertain.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Physical Therapy Modalities , Shoulder Dislocation , Humans , Female , Male , Shoulder Dislocation/therapy , Adult , United Kingdom , Middle Aged , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
10.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2328521, 2024 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727511

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cirrhosis is a disease that imposes a heavy burden worldwide, but its incidence varies widely by region. Therefore, we analysed data on the incidence and mortality of cirrhosis in 204 countries and territories from 1990-2019 and projected the disease development from 2019-2039. METHODS: Data on the incidence and mortality of liver cirrhosis from 1990 to 2019 were acquired from the public Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. In addition, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of the age-standardized rate (ASR) of cirrhosis in different regions were calculated. The estimates of risk factor exposure were summarized, and the proportion of causes and risk factors of liver cirrhosis and their relationship with the human development index (HDI) and socio-demographic index (SDI) were analysed. Trends in the incidence of cirrhosis in 2019-2039 were predicted using Nordpred and BAPC models. RESULTS: Globally, the ASR of cirrhosis incidence decreased by 0.05% per year from 25.7/100,000 in 1990 to 25.3/100,000 in 2019. The mortality risk associated with cirrhosis is notably lower in females than in males (13 per 100,000 vs 25 per 100,000). The leading cause of cirrhosis shifted from hepatitis B to C. Globally, alcohol use increased by 14%. In line, alcohol use contributed to 49.3% of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and 48.4% of global deaths from liver cirrhosis. Countries with a low ASR in 1990 experienced a faster increase in cirrhosis, whereas in 2019, the opposite was observed. In countries with high SDI, the ASR of cirrhosis is generally lower. Finally, projections indicate that the number and incidence of cirrhosis will persistently rise from 2019-2039. CONCLUSIONS: Cirrhosis poses an increasing health burden. Given the changing etiology, there is an imperative to strengthen the prevention of hepatitis C and alcohol consumption, to achieve early reduce the incidence of cirrhosis.


This study is an updated assessment of liver cirrhosis prevalence trends in 204 countries worldwide and the first to project trends over the next 20 years.The disease burden of cirrhosis is still increasing, and despite the decline in ASR, the number and prevalence of cirrhosis will continue to increase over the next two decades after 2019.It is alarming that the global surge in alcohol use is accompanied by an increase in DALYs and deaths due to liver cirrhosis.Liver cirrhosis remains a noteworthy public health event, and our study can further guide the development of national healthcare policies and the implementation of related interventions.


Subject(s)
Forecasting , Global Burden of Disease , Global Health , Liver Cirrhosis , Humans , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Male , Female , Incidence , Risk Factors , Global Health/statistics & numerical data , Global Health/trends , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
11.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e080166, 2024 May 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38740501

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: As nearly two-thirds of women presenting at their first antenatal visit are either overweight or obese in urban South Africa, the preconception period is an opportunity to optimise health and offset transgenerational risk of both obesity and non-communicable diseases. This protocol describes the planned economic evaluation of an individually randomised controlled trial of a complex continuum of care intervention targeting women and children in Soweto, South Africa (Bukhali trial). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The economic evaluation of the Bukhali trial will be conducted as a within-trial analysis from both provider and societal perspectives. Incremental costs and health outcomes of the continuum of care intervention will be compared with standard care. The economic impact on implementing agencies (programme costs), healthcare providers, participants and their households will be estimated. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) will be calculated in terms of cost per case of child adiposity at age years averted. Additionally, ICERs will also be reported in terms of cost per quality-adjusted life year gained. If Bukhali demonstrates effectiveness, we will employ a decision analytical model to examine the cost-effectiveness of the intervention over a child's lifetime. A Markov model will be used to estimate long-term health benefits, healthcare costs and cost-effectiveness. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses will be conducted to explore uncertainty and ensure robust results. An analysis will be conducted to assess the equity impact of the intervention, by comparing intervention impact within quintiles of socioeconomic status. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The Bukhali trial economic evaluation has ethical approval from the Human Ethics Research Committee of the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa (M240162). The results of the economic evaluation will be disseminated in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at a relevant international conference. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Pan African Clinical Trials Registry (PACTR201903750173871; https://pactr.samrc.ac.za).


Subject(s)
Continuity of Patient Care , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Adult , Child , Female , Humans , Pregnancy , Continuity of Patient Care/economics , Obesity/therapy , Obesity/economics , Pediatric Obesity/therapy , Pediatric Obesity/economics , Prenatal Care/economics , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , South Africa
12.
J Korean Med Sci ; 39(17): e145, 2024 May 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38711316

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE) is an indicator of the average lifespan in good health. Through this study, we aimed to identify regional disparities in the gap between HALE and life expectancy, considering the trends that have changed over time in Korea. METHODS: We employed a group-based multi-trajectory modeling approach to capture trends in the gap between HALE and life expectancy at the regional level from 2008 to 2019. HALE was calculated using incidence-based "years lived with disability." This methodology was also employed in the Korean National Burden of Disease Study. RESULTS: Based on five different information criteria, the most fitted number of trajectory groups was seven, with at least 11 regions in each group. Among the seven groups, one had an exceptionally large gap between HALE and life expectancy compared to that of the others. This group was assigned to 17 regions, of which six were metropolitan cities. CONCLUSION: Based on the results of this study, we identified regions in which health levels have deteriorated over time, particularly within specific areas of metropolitan cities. These findings can be used to design comprehensive policy interventions for community health promotion and urban regeneration projects in the future.


Subject(s)
Life Expectancy , Humans , Life Expectancy/trends , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Male , Female , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
13.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0302592, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38717998

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the economics of three different gargles in the treatment of chronic periodontitis. METHODS: A total of 108 patients with periodontitis received one of the following three gargles: xipayi, compound chlorhexidine, or Kangfuxin gargle. The basic information of the patients, the costs of the gargles, the periodontal indexes before and after treatment, and the scores of the 3-level version of the EuroQol Five Dimensions Questionnaire were collected. The cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of the various gargles were determined. RESULTS: The cost-effectiveness ratios (CER) of the three groups after treatment were 1828.75, 1573.34, and 1876.92 RMB, respectively. The utility values before treatment were 0.92, 0.90, and 0.91, respectively, and the utility values after treatment were 0.98, 0.98, and 0.97, respectively. The cost-utility ratios (CURs) were 213.43, 195.61, and 301.53 RMB, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: For each increase in effective rate and quality-adjusted life years, the treatment cost of periodontitis patients was lower than the gross domestic product per capita of Jiangsu Province, indicating that the treatment cost is completely worth it. The CER and CUR results were the same, and the compound chlorhexidine group was the lowest, demonstrating that when the same therapeutic effect was achieved, it cost the least.


Subject(s)
Chlorhexidine , Chronic Periodontitis , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Humans , Female , Male , Chronic Periodontitis/economics , Chronic Periodontitis/drug therapy , Chronic Periodontitis/therapy , Middle Aged , Adult , Chlorhexidine/therapeutic use , Chlorhexidine/economics , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Quality of Life , Surveys and Questionnaires
14.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1333487, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38699428

ABSTRACT

Background: Iruplinalkib is a second-generation anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) with efficacy in patients with ALK-positive crizotinib-resistant advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), which is independently developed by a Chinese pharmaceutical company. This study examined the cost-effectiveness of iruplinalkib versus alectinib in the Chinese healthcare setting. Methods: A partitioned survival model was developed to project the economic and health outcomes. Efficacy was derived using unanchored matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC). Cost and utility values were obtained from the literature and experts' opinions. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were carried out to evaluate the model's robustness. Results: Treatment with iruplinalkib versus alectinib resulted in a gain of 0.843 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) with incremental costs of $20,493.27, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $24,313.95/QALY. Parameters related to relative efficacy and drug costs were the main drivers of the model outcomes. From the PSA, iruplinalkib had a 90% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $37,863.56/QALY. Conclusion: Compared to alectinib, iruplinalkib is a cost-effective therapy for patients with ALK-positive crizotinib-resistant advanced NSCLC.


Subject(s)
Anaplastic Lymphoma Kinase , Carbazoles , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Crizotinib , Drug Resistance, Neoplasm , Lung Neoplasms , Piperidines , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy , Carbazoles/therapeutic use , Carbazoles/economics , China , Crizotinib/therapeutic use , Piperidines/therapeutic use , Piperidines/pharmacology , Anaplastic Lymphoma Kinase/metabolism , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Protein Kinase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Protein Kinase Inhibitors/economics , Male , Female , Middle Aged
15.
Expert Rev Vaccines ; 23(1): 546-560, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38703180

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is used in the Japanese National Immunization Program for older adults and adults with increased risk for pneumococcal disease, however, disease incidence and associated burden remain high. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using a Markov model, we evaluated lifetime costs using societal and healthcare payer perspectives and estimated quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and number of prevented cases and deaths caused by invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-IPD. The base case analysis used a societal perspective. RESULTS: In comparison with PPSV23, the 20-valent PCV (PCV20) prevented 127 IPD cases 10,813 non-IPD cases (inpatients: 2,461, outpatients: 8,352) and 226 deaths, and gained more QALYs (+0.0015 per person) with less cost (-JPY22,513 per person). All sensitivity and scenario analyses including a payer perspective analysis indicated that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were below the cost-effectiveness threshold value in Japan (JPY5 million/QALY). CONCLUSIONS: PCV20 is both cost saving and more effective than PPSV23 for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Pneumococcal Infections , Pneumococcal Vaccines , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Vaccines, Conjugate , Humans , Pneumococcal Vaccines/economics , Pneumococcal Vaccines/administration & dosage , Japan/epidemiology , Pneumococcal Infections/prevention & control , Pneumococcal Infections/economics , Pneumococcal Infections/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Aged , Vaccines, Conjugate/economics , Vaccines, Conjugate/administration & dosage , Vaccines, Conjugate/immunology , Male , Female , Markov Chains , Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
16.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0301643, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696424

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Delayed response to clinical deterioration of hospital inpatients is common. Deployment of an electronic automated advisory vital signs monitoring and notification system to signal clinical deterioration is associated with significant improvements in clinical outcomes but there is no evidence on the cost-effectiveness compared with routine monitoring, in the National Health Service (NHS) in the United Kingdom (UK). METHODS: A decision analytic model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of an electronic automated advisory notification system versus standard care, in adults admitted to a district general hospital. Analyses considered: (1) the cost-effectiveness of the technology based on secondary analysis of patient level data of 3787 inpatients in a before-and-after study; and (2) the cost-utility (cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY)) over a lifetime horizon, extrapolated using published data. Analysis was conducted from the perspective of the NHS. Uncertainty in the model was assessed using a range of sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 68 years, 48% male, with a median inpatient stay of 6 days. Expected life expectancy at discharge was assumed to be 17.74 years. (1) Cost-effectiveness analysis: The automated notification system was more effective (-0.027 reduction in mean events per patient) and provided a cost saving of -£12.17 (-182.07 to 154.80) per patient admission. (2) Cost-utility analysis: Over a lifetime horizon the automated notification system was dominant, demonstrating a positive incremental QALY gain (0.0287 QALYs, equivalent to ~10 days of perfect health) and a cost saving of £55.35. At a threshold of £20,000 per QALY, the probability of automated monitoring being cost-effective in the NHS was 81%. Increased use of cableless sensors may reduce cost-savings, however, the intervention remains cost-effective at 100% usage (ICER: £3,107/QALY). Stratified cost-effectiveness analysis by age, National Early Warning Score (NEWS) on admission, and primary diagnosis indicated the automated notification system was cost-effective for most strategies and that use representative of the patient population studied was the most cost-saving strategy. CONCLUSION: Automated notification system for adult patients admitted to general wards appears to be a cost-effective use in the NHS; adopting this technology could be good use of scarce resources with significance for patient safety.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Male , Aged , Female , United Kingdom , Middle Aged , Clinical Deterioration , Aged, 80 and over , Adult , Automation/economics
17.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1382088, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38711525

ABSTRACT

Objective: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of adding serplulimab to chemotherapy for metastatic squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients in a first-line setting from a Chinese perspective. Methods: A three-health state partitioned survival model was constructed to simulate disease development. The clinical data used in the model were derived from the ASTRUM-004 clinical trial. Only direct medical costs were included, and the utilities were derived from published literature. The quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were employed to evaluate health outcomes. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis was performed to verify the robustness of the results. Results: Compared with chemotherapy alone, the addition of serplulimab resulted in an increase of 0.63 QALYs with an incremental cost of $5,372.73, leading to an ICER of $8,528.14 per QALY. This ICER was significantly lower than 3 times China's per capita GDP. The one-way sensitivity analysis suggested that the utility of PFS was the most sensitive factor on ICERs, followed by the price of serplulimab. Conclusion: The combination of serplulimab and chemotherapy has been shown to be a cost-effective initial treatment option for patients with metastatic squamous NSCLC with the commonly accepted willingness-to-pay threshold of 3 times the GDP per capita per QALY in China.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Lung Neoplasms , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/economics , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/mortality , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Lung Neoplasms/economics , Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/economics , China , Female , Male , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/economics , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Neoplasm Metastasis , Middle Aged
18.
J Glob Health ; 14: 04093, 2024 May 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695259

ABSTRACT

Background: China has the highest number of new cancer cases and deaths globally. Due to particularly low scores in health care quality for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), the country's cSCC burden requires greater awareness. Consequently, we aimed to evaluate and predict the trend of the cSCC burden globally and in China from 1990 to 2030. Methods: We retrieved data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study, which provided estimates of the incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of cSCC from 1990 to 2019. We set up joint-point analyses and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models to predict the disease burden of cSCC up to 2030. Results: In 2019, China reported age-standardised rates of cSCC prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs of 2.54, 2.12, 0.88, and 16.76 per 100 000 population, respectively. The country's prevalence and incidence rates from 1990 to 2019 were lower than the global levels, but its mortality and DALY rates were higher. The age-standardised rates were higher for males, and the disease burden increased with each age group globally and in China. Moreover, the average annual percentage change showed all indicators were growing faster than the global levels. According to the BAPC model, there will be an upward trend in the prevalence and incidence globally and in China between 2020 and 2030, with a decrease in mortality and DALYs. Conclusions: We observed an upward trend in the cSCC burden over the past 30 years in China. Prevalence and incidence are expected to continue at a higher rate than the global average in the next decade, while mortality and DALYs are predicted to decrease. As the Chinese population ages, efforts toward managing and preventing cSCC should be targeted towards the elderly population.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell , Global Burden of Disease , Skin Neoplasms , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Bayes Theorem , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/mortality , China/epidemiology , Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Forecasting , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Incidence , Prevalence , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology , Skin Neoplasms/mortality
19.
J Affect Disord ; 357: 163-170, 2024 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38703901

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Postpartum depression (PPD) poses significant challenges, affecting both mothers and children, with substantial societal and economic implications. Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy interventions (iCBT) offer promise in addressing PPD, but their economic impact remains unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-utility of Be a Mom, a self-guided iCBT intervention, compared with a waiting-list control among postpartum women at high risk of PPD. METHODS: This economic evaluation was conducted alongside a 14-month randomized controlled trial adopting a societal perspective. Participants were randomized to Be a Mom (n = 542) or a waitlisted control group (n = 511). Self-report data on healthcare utilization, productivity losses, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were collected at baseline, post-intervention, and 4 and 12 months post-intervention. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were generated using nonparametric bootstrapping. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess result robustness. RESULTS: Over 14 months, Be a Mom generated a QALY gain of 0.0184 (0.0022, 0.0346), and cost savings of EUR 34.06 (-176.16, 108.04) compared to the control group. At a willingness to pay of EUR 20,000, Be a Mom had a 97.6 % probability of cost-effectiveness. LIMITATIONS: Results have limitations due to self-selected sample, potential recall bias in self-reporting, missing data, limited follow-up, and the use of a waiting-list control group. CONCLUSIONS: This study addresses a critical gap by providing evidence on the cost-utility of an iCBT intervention tailored for PPD prevention. Further research is essential to identify scalable and cost-effective interventions for reducing the burden of PPD.


Subject(s)
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Depression, Postpartum , Internet-Based Intervention , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Female , Depression, Postpartum/prevention & control , Depression, Postpartum/economics , Depression, Postpartum/therapy , Adult , Internet-Based Intervention/economics , Cognitive Behavioral Therapy/economics , Cognitive Behavioral Therapy/methods , Mothers/psychology
20.
Curr Heart Fail Rep ; 21(3): 186-193, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662154

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Heart failure (HF) is a major public health problem worldwide, affecting more than 64 million people [1]. The complex and severe nature of HF presents challenges in providing cost-effective care as patients often require multiple hospitalizations and treatments. This review of relevant studies with focus on the last 10 years summarizes the health and economic implications of various HF treatment options in Europe and beyond. Although the main cost drivers in HF treatment are clinical (re)admission and decompensation of HF, an assessment of the economic impacts of various other device therapy options for HF care are included in this review. This includes: cardiovascular implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) such as cardiac-resynchronisation-therapy devices that include pacemaking (CRT-P), cardiac-resynchronisation-therapy devices that include defibrillation (CRT-D), implantable cardioverter/defibrillators (ICDs) and various types of pacemakers. The impact of (semi)automated (tele)monitoring as a relevant factor for increasing both the quality and economic impact of care is also taken into consideration. Quality of life adjusted life years (QALYs) are used in the overall context as a composite metric reflecting quantity and quality of life as a standardized measurement of incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of different device-based HF interventions. RECENT FINDINGS: In terms of the total cost of different devices, CRT-Ds were found in several studies to be more expensive than all other devices in regards to runtime and maintenance costs including (re)implantation. In the case of CRT combined with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (CRT-D) versus ICD alone, CRT-D was found to be the most cost-effective treatment in research work over the past 10 years. Further comparison between CRT-D vs. CRT-P does not show an economic advantage of CRT-D as a minority of patients require shock therapy. Furthermore, a positive health economic effect and higher survival rate is seen in CRT-P full ventricular stimulation vs. right heart only stimulation. Telemedical care has been found to provide a positive health economic impact for selected patient groups-even reducing patient mortality. For heart failure both in ICD and CRT-D subgroups the given telemonitoring benefit seems to be greater in higher-risk populations with a worse HF prognosis. In patients with HF, all CIED therapies are in the range of commonly accepted cost-effectiveness. QALY and ICER calculations provide a more nuanced understanding of the economic impact these therapies create in the healthcare landscape. For severe cases of HF, CRT-D with telemedical care seems to be the better option from a health economic standpoint, as therapy is more expensive, but costs per QALY range below the commonly accepted threshold.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Defibrillators, Implantable , Heart Failure , Humans , Heart Failure/therapy , Heart Failure/economics , Defibrillators, Implantable/economics , Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy/economics , Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy/methods , Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Devices/economics , Quality of Life , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Pacemaker, Artificial/economics
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